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303.399.9422

8811 East Hampden Ave.,
Suite 104 
Denver, CO 80231

  • Phill Foster and Company

    Industrial land and building experience

  • Phill Foster and Company

    Subsurface mineral rights

  • Phill Foster and Company

    Water rights uses and sand and gravel

  • Phill Foster and Company

    Over 40 years office leasing experience

  • Phill Foster and Company

    Niobrara shale oil properties

Real Estate/e-Commerce

E-Commerce sales continue to grow at a rapid pace and are projected to reach $2.357 trillion by 2017. Retailers strive to shorten the time frame between a customer’s online order and the arrival at their front door. Walmart upped its game recently by announcing free shipping of its online products to level the playing field with its rival Amazon. The robust growth in e-commerce sales has led manufacturers, transportation providers, distribution and fulfillment centers, and retailers to make changes in its retail logistics chain. This will have an impact on industrial commercial real estate investment according to NAIOP Research Foundation.

Walmart’s showdown with Amazon will most likely result in the need to build specialized rapid distribution centers near major population hubs. Amazon will have to respond in kind to meet new competition with the low-cost leader and build facilities of its own. This will result in the need for more distribution centers and warehouses to meet the demands of e-commerce logistics for both companies.

The industrial market expansion has been driven, in part, by the ongoing evolution of supply chains, as businesses seek to distribute goods across the country more quickly and efficiently and e-commerce is having the greatest impact on the industrial real estate industry. A recent study states that “the continuing economic recovery, the continued growth of e-commerce and a steady housing market all contributed to the lowest vacancy rates in more than a decade for the U.S. industrial market during the first quarter of 2015.” The report adds that the overall vacancy rate nationally is 6.9 percent.

The boom in e-commerce has created significant demand for new industrial space that will support a high–volume package throughput, according to the NAIOP Research Foundation. These facilities require higher ceilings, more dock doors, restrooms and mezzanines. The Wall Street Journal reports that additional ceiling heights will be needed to allow a distributor to build three levels rather than two above the ground floor to create additional room to stock, sort and pact shipments to fulfill online orders.

Numerous anchor tenant brands have undergone major restructuring during the past several years. And as those tenants have struggled, so have many shopping centers. While Class A spaces continue to perform well, many lower-tier shopping centers are confronting a challenging market.

For every American, there are 22.9 square feet of gross leasable area in U.S. shopping centers. That’s nearly double the per-capita space found in Canada (13.1 square feet) – which ranked 2nd in the world. Most European countries averaged closet to 3 square feet per capita.

Customers still want retail outlets near them. But the market has also pushed many retail operators and brands to reinvent themselves as “experiential retail” and move away from traditional sales concepts.

Coverage devoted to the growth of millennials has been extreme, but in this case, it is a perfect reflection of the shifting market. Millennials found that 78% would prioritize spending on an experience (such as dining out with friends) over the purchase of a physical item, and more than 70% wanted to spend even more on experiences in the future. With department store-sized holes in many shopping centers, mall operators have looked to fill them with tenants which meet that need. Restaurants, fitness concepts, and other types of businesses are moving in. Many existing brands and market segments are also radically changing how they do business. How the retail market as a whole will continue to evolve remains to be seen.

But one thing is clear – online purchases have permanently changed the retail estate market, and the shifts it has produced are only just beginning.